I know we all love reading about the cheap rookies, but the first one I’m looking at will be a bit on the pricey side…as far as the kids go anyway.
Richmond fans are extremely excited about Dustin Martin, and with good reason. There’s a lot to like about him and along with Jack Trengove, I believe he’s the rookie most likely to play 22 games, so it does give you flexibility to keep him as bench cover late in the season, or earn you enough cash to trade out for a keeper. Also, as a general philosophy this year I am valuing durability higher than most things this year (sorry Chappy).
One thing I will note, and this probably goes without saying, at his anticipated price point of about $150K you would only be looking to start him on the ground. I mean, personally I couldn’t justify spending that much on a bench player. But for that much money can we back this kid in to be this year’s Daniel Rich? The reason I’m writing about him is that there are few things about his game that bears a bit of resemblence to Rich.
Martin has a very strong and mature body - a good, typical country lad. His hardened body will assist greatly in his durability as the season goes on. Not only is he mature, but he’s tough as nails, so I’d expect him to play through injury more than most other young kids.
I hear you ask, “But Dan, what good is durability if he scores like Nathan J. Brown in 2008?” Never fear, because Martin wasn’t drafted at Pick 3 as a midfielder for no reason. He’s a fantastic kick of the pill, so Richmond will be looking to entrust him with the ball in his hands more than other rookies around the league…especially if Hardwick has average ball users like Edwards, King and Hislop in his 22. Along with his wonderful foot skills (keep kicking, Dusty, handballs are only worth two points) his hardness means he’ll win his own ball and pull down more tackles than most other rookies. Some players can play a little bit too inside for DT production (lack of marks, too many handballs - it’s been a knock on Joel Selwood’s scope to move to the elite level, for example) but at least early on when you don’t expect elite production from Martin you can look for him to be one of the highest scoring rookies. Long term (not that it matters for this year) I think Martin has a fine outside game too and will be OK in this regard.
I’ll make the call now, injury aside, I expect Martin to lead first year players in tackles this year. If he can replicate Selwood’s first year (minus the premiership) you’d be looking at about 16 points per game on tackles alone. Not that I want to put a kid in the same bracket as freaks like Rich and Selwood, but I can just draw a lot of comparisons between their styles, their bodies and the likelihood of getting a lot of responsibility early on.
He’s comfortably in Richmond’s best 22, not just in my opinion, but in the opinion of a lot of Richmond fans as well and I really think he will be an important part of their midfield this year. After a big wrap like that, I’m hoping like all hell this doesn’t become my Shannon Cox article that Toby would remind me about somewhere between once to four times per week, but luckily Dustin Martin isn’t a pea heart. All of my plans this year involve having Martin as my sixth midfielder, possibly fifth if I can trust another rookie to hold down a starting spot ala Rich and Otten last year.
4 Comments on Dustin Martin
Dan
One thing I lern’t about team structure last year from you guys was that you need to start at least 2 rookies in the midfield from the start.
This gives your team more flexability due to the number of midfield downgrade options avaliable during the year.
Plan is to have 2-3 rookie midfielders starting, none in the backs and possibly 1 on the forwards, if you count Charman maybe one in the Rucks
Every year there is a rookie back that comes out of nowhere to score points, plan is to downgrade to these guys once they show something, too risky to take a punt on rookie backs, i’m just going to pick the first 2 rookie backs that are named in the sides for round 1.
Judging from how rookies are classified this year it looks like this year will be the first for me not to have any premium midfielders in my starting line up. Plan is to cash up at the start and upgrade to which ever premium is value during the year Swan and Ablett will have a bad game then I’m on.
Note this is the reverse to what I did last year, I only started Rich and had alot of premium midfielders and had a cheap forward line. Theory there was the forward are inconsistant and therefore you can pick up alot of these guys during the year cheap at some stage - i still like this theory but there aren’t many quality rookie forward at this stage - we might have a few more once the preseason starts
Starting two rookie mids worked brilliantly last year, specifically because of Rich and Otten (and to a lesser extent Robinson and Beams). What if no one scores at their level this year? Structurally you have to consider if you are going to have the cattle to pull that sort of thing off.
The downgrade options are always going to be more lucrative in the midfield, but you can downgrade any player who isn’t a keeper to a rookie during the year.
I like the idea of starting two rookie mids, but I won’t always do it (in fact, last year was the first for me). At the end of the day, the most points are in the midfield, so I’m not too keen on skimping at the top end there, especially where captain options are concerned.
My first crack at a team this year had three premium mids, one mid priced and two rookies starting. Both rookies were Top 3 picks though (Trengove and Martin), so they’re a bit more expensive.
It depends on what you’re entering DT for though. If you want to just win your league then you can pace yourself, but if you want your best overall ranking and a shot at the prize, you need to start a bloke or two who can average 110 from Round 1.
Going for the win - Finished 627 last year so not too bad BTW my GF’s team was in the top 100 due to me forgetting to make trades for about a month then getting lucky with Mitch Clark LOL
Lesson from that was that you can make up 3000 places in a month if you have trades up your sleave
Problem this year is that all the decent rookies are in the midfield.
BTW are you guys going to start a league?
We will be doing a Footy Tragic League - keep an eye out for announcement in the coming days!
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