Footy Tragic
Reading The Form
Dear Footy Tragics,
When considering which players are worthy of a prized position amongst our squad of 30 players, pre season form undoubtedly plays a big part. With extended squads providing greater opportunities to previously unsighted players, the NAB cup is where hardcore dreamteamers do the bulk of their work.
As each AFL season passes by, the professionalism and dedication required by players increases. Clubs now are employing more fitness staff, more strength and conditioning coaches and spending more money searching for “the edge”. In today’s modern game, the importance of completing a full pre season is paramount. This is especially important when it comes to dreamteam, as buyers of Luke Hodge and Buddy Franklin prior to Round 1 last year will testify.
The problem I see is where dreamteamers read too much into NAB cup scores. It’s very important to realise that a NAB cup or NAB challenge match is played at approximately 70% intensity when compared to a regular season match. Some players will dominate pre season games, yet go missing in Round 1 when the kitchen heats up.
If you take a trip down memory lane, you may recall that Bradd Dalziell from Brisbane (now at West Coast) was the most effective dreamteam player throughout the entire 2009 pre season series. The super fit Dalziell was suffering from a severe dose of leather poisoning 12 months ago and racking up huge dreamteam numbers. Despite a hefty $420,300 price in 2009, many coaches jumped onboard the Dalziell bandwagon based on his very impressive pre season form.
Unfortunately for Dalziell and the many dreamteamers who jumped onboard, he went missing in action during the home and away season. By the end of the 2009 season, Dalziell had played just 8 matches due to a combination of injury and poor form, for an average of 84 points per game. After paying premium dollars pre season, many coaches were badly burnt by Dalziell in 2009.
The lesson here is don’t get too carried away by pre season numbers. The NAB cup and NAB challenge matches are only practice matches. Just because a first or second year rookie scores 100 points against an injury depleted Adelaide or Geelong side in February, it doesn’t mean they will repeat the dose in Round 1. Do I need to remind you about the noise created about Port Adelaide’s Wade Thompson last year? If you listened to Mark Williams 12 months ago, you would think he had unearthed the next Jeff Farmer. History shows us that Thompson played just 2 games in 2009 for an average of 38 points per game (not to mention a return to the North Adelaide reserves side later in the season).
While it’s absolutely crucial to have a fully fit squad of 30 players, you don’t need all of your squad averaging at least 80 points per game in February.
Good luck!

3 Comments on Reading The Form
Good points. Scores mean very little at this time of year. I know that when I’m watching pre-season games I’m looking for changes of role, or how certain players will fit into a sides structure. It can take a bit of guess work with so many teams holding back a few guns at this time of year. For example, Brisbane without Black and Power, can I see room for Rockliff when they’re back?
This is why I love checking out as many NAB Challenge games as possible. The only real exposure they get is through stats, which doesn’t always tell the full story.
i was thinking about rockliff as i read through this too. locked and loaded him straight in after the match then as my senses kicked i realised that he might find go missing through the year as the lions are going for a top 4 spot. pods and tdl are firmly in his bench spot
Yer awesome read…
What I do find as a good way (for me) to manage my team(and my mind) over the pre season, is to actually make 500 moves if that is what it takes to get it right..
I ranked 298 last year, so it seemed to work…
My theory is just the fact that, while a player is fresh in the mind, go ahead and make the change, it is not like your trades are limited now…
It is just that I hate it when you see something in a player that you lie, you dont put him in, you forget about him, he FLIES during the season, and you are stuck saying “I was thinking of him in the pre season”…
But you are very rright in what this is all about, DO NOT REACT, on NAB form, but dont be scarred of your instincts either, they can be the ones that win you this comp as well….
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