Footy Tragic
Achy’s Army/Hidden Gem
NEW TO FOOTY TRAGIC
- PART 1 – The “Submit Your Team” section as per normal;
- PART 2 -The NEW section where I unearth a hidden gem who I expect to make an impact in 2010. These players are under priced because they have been in the AFL system for 3 years or less (this week I have extended it to 5 years) and are still trying to establish themselves as AFL footballers. I’m looking for the next Andy Otten, Patrick Dangerfield, Mitchell Brown or Taylor Walker.
Dear Achy’s Army,
PART 1:
View Achy’s Army’s Team
Round 19 Score: 1,971
Current Overall Ranking: 3,756
Trades Left: 2
Remaining Salary Cap: $117,000
Thank you for submitting your team.
I must say that your team is looking in very good shape at this late stage of the season, with 28 of your 30 players strong chances of playing this week. The only players in your squad who appear certain to miss are Sam Jacobs and Sam Wright. Any team with 22 solid players and 3 emergencies this week is giving themselves every possible chance of progressing to Week 3 of the finals.
Depth in your squad is an often overlooked dreamteam fundamental. Your squad of 30 has depth in spades and I congratulate you for it. As I like to say, “Don’t give me excuses about injuries; give me depth in your squad”.
While I could recommend one upgrade in either your midfield (Ryan Griffen), or your forward line (Ryan Houlihan) using the surplus cash you have available, I don’t think it would be in your best interests. The upside of doing this would be most likely an additional 20 - 30 points this week. However, my advice would be to hold onto your trades, in case one of your premiums gets injured this week or in Round 21.
Having said that, I strongly recommend you do a full analysis of your opponent’s team prior to lockout. If you think you have him covered, definitely save your trades because you will be cooking with gas in Round 21 with $117,000 in the bank and two trades still up your sleeve.
As for the players who scored 0 last week, please note the following:
- Brendon Goddard is expected to return this week from his knee injury. Please note however that I suspect Goddard has got a legitimate knee injury, so he is not 100% certain to return.
- Peter Burgoyne is highly likely to return to AFL action after 28 possessions and 7 tackles in a dominant display for Port Adelaide in the SANFL last week.
- Beau Muston should also return to the Hawthorn line up after a best on ground performance for Box Hill in the VFL last week.
- Nick Riewoldt is certain to return this week from concussion.
PROPOSED ACTION THIS WEEK (WEEK 2 OF FINALS):
No change – save your trades for possible injuries to your premiums.
In conclusion, I love the choice of Mitch Clark as captain. Clark has come of age this year in the absence of Jamie Charman and Matthew Leuenberger in fine style. He’s been so impressive that he’s my smokey for All Australian back up ruckman (behind Aaron Sandilands). I was all over Clark and got him into my side for Dean Cox prior to Round 16. I discussed the possible replacements for Cox in my Round 16 “Submit Your Team” article (scroll below to check it out). For those who followed my advice and went with Clark over Hamish McIntosh, Darren Jolly, Drew Petrie and Kurt Tippett, you have been rewarded handsomely.
Good luck!
PART 2 (NEW):
Hidden gem Week 4: Robert Warnock – Carlton – Ruck – 2009 price $203,600;
2010 price $??? (It’s at the discretion of dreamteam headquarters but I’m hoping $150,000).
This week, I’ve gone searching for another ruckman. While this is the 2nd week in a row I’ve gone for a 3rd or 4th ruck option, I make no apology for doing so. I’ve decided to again steer clear of midfielders, because they are too easy to find.
Traditionally, the rucks have been the most boring part of dreamteam. We all lock in Dean Cox, toss in a Aaron Sandilands, Hamish McIntosh or David Hille and forget about our 3rd and 4th rucks. While this strategy worked brilliantly in years gone by, many teams have come unstuck this year with it, including me.
Robert Warnock must surely be the most talked about 21 game player in AFL history. We all know that Carlton tried to move heaven and earth to ensure Warnock wore a navy blue jumper in 2009. The problem is, it’s Round 20 and Warnock still hasn’t played a game for the Blues. In this article, I’m going to tell you a little more about Warnock and try to explain exactly why Carlton were so keen to get him and why you should too.
Robert Warnock was drafted from the Sandringham Dragons by Fremantle with pick 42 in the 2005 National Draft. Warnock spent the entire 2006 season learning his craft at WAFL club West Perth. After 12 AFL matches for Fremantle in 2007 and 9 in 2008, Warnock wanted to return home. Warnock was particularly impressive in 2008 as he showed the footy world what he is capable of.
Carlton came knocking, got the trade done and allegedly signed Warnock on a 4 year, $1.6million contract. Now, let’s face it, nobody knows the capabilities of an AFL footballer better than an AFL club. No club, not even Carlton would offer an unproven player $400,000 per year, unless they were VERY confident that the boy could seriously play. It’s worth noting here that Fremantle also threw the chequebook at Warnock last year, but he rejected their offer.
We’re now approaching Round 20 and Warnock is yet to make his debut for Carlton. Warnock has played the last 3 games for the Northern Bullants in the VFL, but it appears unlikely Brett Ratten will bring him into the Carlton side on the even of the finals, after missing nearly 10 months with a foot / ankle injury. This is ideal from a dreamteam perspective, because it appears likely that we’ll be able to pick up Warnock next year for an absolute steal!
Warnock made the most of his time on the sidelines, adding 10kgs to his developing body. He is now listed as a 22 year old, 206cm, 106kg ruckman. I’m sure all the Carlton fans out there would love to see Matthew Kreuzer and Robert Warnock teaming up in the ruck for Round 1, 2010. With Warnock preparing to enter his 5th AFL season in 2010, his star is about to shine.
Good luck Robert!
Please feel free to post a comment, we welcome all feedback.
Please also advise if you’ll be considering Robert Warnock for your dreamteam in 2010.
6 Comments on Achy’s Army/Hidden Gem
Great read on Warnock Ben! He’s definately a lock for me in 2010 (assuming there are no more injury setbacks!). Carlton has hinted too that they will play Warnock as first ruck, and Kruezer as more a ruck/rover and CHF… Meaning even more game time for the big man!
Those out there wanting to play the big risk DT game and save cash for other areas on the ground, may want to even consider Warnock as a second ruck! He certainly has the ability to score appropriately!
I gotta say that I never forget about third and fourth rucks, but still got stiffed this year. Spencer and Jacobs both had good pre-seasons, contributed well in the NAB Cup and NAB Challenge games and had other ruckmen teammates with long term injuries.
Unforuntately Spencer dudded right out when the season proper started and Jacobs got injured, which was unfortunate because he was serving his purpose quite well.
Even in retrospect it would’ve been hard to nail third and fourth rucks this year. Angus Graham is the only decent option I’m seeing that had a cheap price tag and it would’ve been a risk to start him because he had an ordinary pre-season and wasn’t named Round 1 in favour of Andrew Browne.
Warnock hasn’t really scored well (50 avg in his 2 years) so what is the basis of thinking in him taking the next step? if he is 150k-200k it seems to me to be an awkward price. possibly not reliable enough for a #2 ruck, but too expensive for a #3 ruck?
already thought about it (probably too much) but rucks next year are going to be interesting
(approx prices)
cox 480k
sandi 420k
clark 410k (with luenburger coming back)
h-mac 420k
i might look at a couple of cheaper options
jolly 385k
kruzer 330k
I can’t see myself without Kreuzer next year. He is such a consistent scorer, always getting around 70. With his third year in the system I expect him to maintain that consistency, but improve his output.
TBH, Warnock would probably need to be sub $120K for me to even have a look at him as a bench option. Not doubting his talent, but I’m with you Chad. I would consider Warnock as second ruck if he has a cracking pre-season, but not bench unless he ends up real cheap.
It’s a tricky one. I can definately see Toby’s theory with Warnock as a 2nd ruck option. It’s worth pointing out here that Toby’s 2nd ruck this year (Kurt Tippett) has been sensational considering his starting price was just $191,300.
This has turned out to be an inspired selection and is one of the reasons Toby is currently sitting inside the top 300 overall.
Let’s assume Warnock has a massive pre-season and takes over the mantle as Carlton’s number 1 ruck. Kreuzer is now playing forward and 2nd ruck. Keep in mind that one of the reasons Warnock left Fremantle was to step out of the shadow of Aaron Sandilands. What’s more, Carlton told Warnock he would be given every chance to make the number 1 ruck spot his own.
It’s quite conceivable that Warnock could lift his scoring from 50 points per game to 70 points per game. At a price of around $150,000, we could use the $200,000 we save on another premium midfielder.
Throw in a cheapish Matthew Leuenberger as a very solid 3rd ruck option and either Max Bailey or Matt Lobbe as your number 4.
All of a sudden your ruck stocks are looking good, at minimal expense and with a very capable emergency (would have been gold this year)!
Sure it’s a risk, but it’s well worth consideration.
As for this year, I agree that Jacobs and Spencer both showed solid pre-season form. But with the benefit of hindsight, $75,300 was too thin for my 3rd ruck option and it hurt me badly.
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