Footy Tragic
Alan Didak
It’s a weird time to be writing an article in the middle of lockout. I suppose writing on Didak is a little reactive and this easily could have been last weeks article. At the same time, the third most popular DT forward (Ziebell) didn’t have a broken leg back then, so I imagine there’s a few people looking to trade in the forwards once we get out of this lockout.
Didak had an interrupted start to the year, playing the first four games, but getting hurt against Brisbane. His 2-3 week injury stretched out to five, much to the agony of his owners, but he’s back now and looking good. This week he’s set to go up in price with a break even around the 60 mark, though mind you he is playing Sydney who aren’t the DT force field they once were, but you still never know if they bust out their old ways and completely negate someone like Dids.
If he does score high, then he’ll go up in price but you can rest assured that he’s back, baby! If he doesn’t score so well then he sticks close to his bottom out price (which is now) and you can justify his low score with the Sydney factor. It’s pretty much a win-win situation unless you’re worried that he may not find his form.
In 2008 he really had a break out DT year. I really do feel for those that took the punt on him this year after he burnt so many people so badly last year with his club suspension, but one man’s trash is another man’s treasure. His injury kept his score low and this has had a flow on effect in his price to the point where he has dropped $70K.
Granted, his two big scores this season have both been against Melbourne, you can feel confident enough that he’s good for an average around 95 if he stays on the park. His other scores have been a respectable 88, a 72 against Geelong (tough to score against them), then a 46 when he got injured and a 79 first game back from injury. These scores have all driven his price right down, but I don’t consider it a concern over his scoring potential, because all of those sub 80 scores have a logical explanation.
You can look at his numbers this year and easily point the other way. You could logically argue that maybe he’s not quite got it this year. That he’s only scored well against Melbourne, but I see that as a very pessimistic argument. For me, the glass is half full and circumstances have prevented Dids from going bang so far this year. The planets are aligning though…
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