Footy Tragic
Jimmy’s Gems – Woof Woof!
Every club dreams of drafting a player that bursts onto the scene in a similar fashion to that of Dustin Martin or Joel Selwood in their debut seasons. Realistically we know this isn’t the typical transition for a player, and like we saw with guys like Jack Redden, and Liam Shiels last year, its often not until their 2nd or 3rd year before a player really stamps their mark on the league.
One player I’ve got my eyes on for a similar breakout in 2012 is 2nd year Bulldog Mitch Wallis.
The Player:
Recruited via the Father/Son rule , Wallis was a star junior and the captain of both Vic Metro and the Calder Cannons in 2010. Renowned for racking up the touches, Wallis has a unique ability to win the ball in close, and then run hard across the ground to find the ball in space, shown by an average of 31.3 disposals for Calder in 2010. His game is tailor made for fantasy footy, which was highlighted in TAC Cup Grand Final where he was awarded the best on ground after a huge 47 possession performance that tallied 171 Dream team points.
In 2011, Wallis was in early contention to debut in round 1, but lost the battle to fellow Father/Son recruit Tom Liberatore who was more AFL ready and able to make an immediate impact. He didn’t have to wait long however, and after impressing at VFL level, Wallis earned a senior debut in round 5.
Last week I spoke about the negative effects of the sub rule, and like so many other young players, Wallis fell victim, starting his career in the green vest as the substitute player. He entered the game during the last quarter tallying only 3 possessions and 10 Dream team points. Obviously a big hit to his scoring average.
A dominant ball winner at junior level, Wallis understandably lacked the body size to match it with the bigger, more seasoned AFL bodies in his debut year, but was able to crack 6 games averaging 55 Dream team points. He was used mainly in a tagging or forward line role, but spent his VFL season groomed for a midfield role, and his form suggested he’s not far off, averaging 22 possessions, 5 clearances and 5 tackles per game over fifteen games.
Callan Ward leaving for GWS has left a bit hole in the middle and Wallis looms the most likely player on the Bulldog list to get first crack. From all reports he’s flying on the training track and new coach Brendan McCartney is a huge fan of his approach. Something worth noting is the significant amount of contested possessions Wallis won as a junior with over 35.6% touches being contested.
For a comparison, a player like Sam Mitchell known for his clearance work wins roughly 30% of his possessions in the contest. With another full pre season under his belt, Wallis will benefit hugely from added body size and strength , and we should see a lot more of his ball winning potential in 2012.
Taking a quick look at his career statistics, it’s impossible to ignore his scoring potential:
Calder Cannons (2010): 31.3 disposals, 5.1 Marks, 6.8 Tackles @125 DT average
Vic Metro (2010): 27.7 Disposals, 5.7 marks, 6 Tackles @111 DT average
Williamstown (2011): 22.3 Disposals, 3 marks, 4.5 Tackles @ 81 DT average
You really don’t want to miss the next Jack Redden, and priced at $244,000 Wallis has the potential to be just that. Wallis has gone under the radar somewhat but as the numbers show he’s a potential scoring stud. I’d keep a very close eye on how Wallis is used during the NAB cup. A player with his scoring potential is a bargain waiting to happen, so do your homework and don’t miss out!
2 Comments on Jimmy’s Gems – Woof Woof!
Thanks for this article Jimmy!! Wallis is potentially a DT machine, and I was surprised that he wasn’t a better rook last year given the doggies struggled.
The problem that I have with players like Wallis / Caddy etc that are priced around the $250K in the MIDS this year is that, even though they are bound to increase their averages significantly, I feel the best case scenario is an average of 85 – 90?
Therefore, they are not going to be good enough yet to be your 6th MID this year, and we will therefore still need to use a trade to upgrade them (or they become your MID bench).
I understand that they will score better than most if not all rooks that will be on our grounds, but given that there are generally some pretty good rookies options in the MIDS, it appears that we will make a lot more money picking a rook over say a Wallis or Caddy?
If I pick a mid priced option, then obviously I really want them to become a keeper.
Be interested to get any other views on this, particularly as guys like Wallis and Caddy are priced very cheaply for their potential, and they are priced “not too far” over the top of the most expensive first year rooks???
I think this year gives a good opportunity to have a mid priced place holder that you can upgrade before their bye. Wallis has a R11 bye, so it might not work with him. You would be taking a significant risk that he will have huge point scoring improvement or just riding out his bye and upgrading after the R11-13 bye storm. I think there’s an opportunity for a genuine mid pricer to hold down a spot in your team if they have a R12 or R13 bye though (so you can trade to someone that already had their R11 bye).
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