Footy Tragic
Jimmy’s Gems – MEOW!
G’day readers!
For those of you who aren’t aware my name is James, and recently I was given the opportunity to join the team at Footy Tragic. Like the other guys here I’ve always followed my footy religiously, and can’t get enough of the fantasy side either.
Over the next month or so I’ll be writing about the players I’ve ear-marked for a breakout year and I hope I can help you guys pick out a few hidden gems!
The 2011 season saw the introduction of the ‘substitute rule’. As fantasy coaches we had to be mindful of the strategies employed by coaches to gain best use of their substitute, and how this would affect a player’s output and their fantasy value.
A common theme around the league was to introduce younger players at senior level in the role of the substitute. While there were definitely those that particularly excelled in the role, it wasn’t ideal in fantasy land, with the restricted time on ground severely limiting a player’s scoring potential.
The player I’m going to write about fits this description to a tee. He was able to have such an impact last year that by mid season he was a regular starter in the best 22. However with a lesser role to start the season, combined with six of his 16 games used as the sub, it’s fair to suggest his 2011 averages are not a true reflection of his value. The player I’ll be writing about is none other than 2011 premiership medallist, Allen Christensen.
THE PLAYER:
Entering his second season in 2009, Christensen always loomed a likely candidate for the substitute role. A star player at junior level, Christensen was once considered a top ten draft selection before sliding down the order with concerns over his endurance levels and work rate.
Since being drafted Christensen has put any doubt to rest, thriving in a professional environment improving his fitness levels dramatically. After an impressive pre season he was able to earn senior selection early in the year, making his debut in round two. A natural impact player, Christensen was an excellent candidate to provide a spark late in games making him an obvious choice for the sub role.
Up until round nine, Christensen was in and out of the side, and wore the substitute vest in four of the six games played during this period, averaging a very modest 40.6 Dream Team points per game.
Christensen made an impressive return to the side in round 14 and never looked back playing out the rest of the season in the seniors averaging 85.2 Dream Team points per game. During this stretch Christensen was the sub twice, recording scores of 76 and 30 in those games.
To break it down for you I have separated his year into the following categories with averages including:
Rounds 2-9: 10.8 Disposals, 1.83 Tackles, 0.3 goals per game @ 40.6 DT average.
Rounds 14-24: 18.2 Disposals, 5.1 Tackles, 0.8 Goals per game @ 85.2 DT average.
Full Games Rounds (not substitute) 14-24: 20 Disposals, 5.2 tackles, 0.87 Goals per game @ 93.25 DT average.
Full Games Whole Season (not substitute): 19 Disposals, 4.6 tackles, 1.3 Goals per game @ 84.6 DT average.
Christensen topped the one hundred mark four times with a high score of 120 coming in round 17 against the Lions, highlighting his potential to be an elite scorer.
While he has that uncanny knack for kicking a miraculous goal, don’t be fooled into pigeon holing him as just another goal sneak. His best work is done in the middle of the ground with his ability to win the ball in the contested situation, and tackle the opposition like a man possessed.
Priced at a 68 average, Christensen is terrific value as a forward option at $338,000. With another pre- season under his belt Christensen will be entering his 3rd season, so it’s not unreasonable to expect further improvement again in 2012. He is one that I’ll definitely be watching and one that I’m tipping to be a real bargain. Get on board early!
8 Comments on Jimmy’s Gems – MEOW!
Excellent article Jimmy!!!
Agree with everything you say was hoping that he might fly under the radar, but doubt that now.
The stats breakdown was excellent and in my opinion will be primed for a break-out season. Theoretically should get more time in the midfield as well this year.
The cat is certainly out of the bag with this one (pardon the pun). I was hoping I’d be able to hide him! He’s a lock for me!
Great article and could not agree more… was locked in my team from the get-go!!
Like the others was hoping he might be kept quiet, but no such luck!
Thanks guys!
Can see him playing a lot of time in the middle with Geelong hoping to maintain the legs of their older guys and giving their young players bigger responsibility again in 2012.
Another benefit to Christensen is the fact that he’ll be playing in a successful side which is also something I like to factor in. I’ll certainly have him in my side!
Great article Jimmy!
I was tossing up between him and Browny and this breakdown has locked Christensen!
Are we there yet?? The wait for the season to start is killing me :)
Great article Jimmy!
For me it is between Dangerfield and Christensen. On face value Allen has it, but I think Adelaide’s favourable draw evens things up. Looking forward to see how these two boys fair in the NAB cup.
Same dilema as posts above – j brown and dangerfield are similarly priced. As is didak. And with so many midfielders being classified as fwds this year (eg martin, Sidebottom, beams, zaharakis), its hard to fit in him. Nice work though, Jimmy. Never really noticed him last year but will now monitor his ps stats closely as he could be 1 of the many mpps who finish the season being premiums.
Gday guys, long time reader, first time poster. Straight off the bat I have to say great work on the site! Have been following the site since about halfway through last footy season and it’s an absolute beauty! Absolutely love fantasy footy (especially SC) and have decided to have a red hot crack at 2012 and am hoping to prove myself worth enough to enter one of your leagues!
Anyway enough on me, down to this article. Christensen is clearly terrific value based on price. Currently have him at F5. My only concern is that because he is such an energy player he may possibly see the green vest at some stage.
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