Footy Tragic
Mid-Pricers: Patrick Karnezis
Toby runs through another mid-priced forward in Pat Karnezis – is his new role in the midfield worth a gamble?
Karnezis is actually a player I was half tempted to write about last week considering his fantastic pre-season, however I opted to have a bit of a look at him first and I’m very glad I did.
Karnezis was a player I quite liked in his breakout year of 2011 – he played 11 games as a forward, kicking 17 goals and averaging around 8 disposals and four marks a game. He looked to have really cemented his spot in the team, playing 11 of the final 12 games of the year.
Unfortunately, 2012 was a much different story for him, managing only seven games, and was given the sub vest on five of these occasions. Again he was played up forward, managing to average a goal a game. In the three games he wasn’t sub, he averaged 10 disposals, 2 goals, 7 marks and 2 tackles – all pretty reasonable numbers for a second year player.
The real story is actually what he was doing whilst not wearing Brisbane colours in 2012 – whilst he spent 7 games in the seniors, the other 14 games were spent playing for Brisbane reserves side in the NEAFL. One slight on his game had been his fitness, so he was trialled through the midfield to help develop this weakness into a strength. It paid dividends for him as he went on to be the highest vote getter in the Grogan Medal for the Brisbane reserves.
Despite just increasing his running power and endurance, Karnezis became a fantastic ball winner in the reserves competition, averaging 28 disposals, including six games where he surpassed the 30-touches mark. These are great numbers to suggest the midfield is a great place to see him develop – he has also not lost his ability to pull in the marks or kick a few goals too.
Over the off-season, Karnezis has spent his time training with the midfielders to further develop his craft – this is also a sign that Vossy is prepared to play him as a midfielder in 2013 and not just stick him back in the forward line. We got to see him in action on the weekend in the first of Brisbane’s two NAB Cup games. In the game he played 100% across the wing, showing good decision making and ball-skills – and most importantly, he showed a knack of finding the footy; he finished the game with 10 disposals (7 kicks, 3 handballs), 3 marks and 2 tackles.
We know these initial NAB Games are a bit a of fluff and they aren’t the sorts of games that should make you want to do a hundred changes to your squad. But it is a good chance to see some of the younger players and where the coach may be trialling them. I daresay Vossy would have been impressed with Karnezis’ performance – as I said above, he used the ball well, got plenty of it and looked confident. One position on the wing for the Lions will be taken up by Pearce Hanley, but I daresay Karnezis is the front runner for the other.
For those tempted to put him in their teams, he is dirt cheap – only $238,500 in Fantasy Football and $262,200 in Supercoach. He can be selected as a forward only. At the above prices, he will be competing with the likes of Shannon Byrnes, Travis Varcoe and Josh Kennedy for a spot in your team (or maybe you will have multiples) and I daresay Karnezis will be the least common option out of that group – but by no means does it mean he is the worst option. In the role he played on the weekend there is no reason he can’t average 75-80 points a game and give you a hefty price rise with some decent scores along the way. The main thing you would want to be cautious of is that he is best-22, so the next few weeks of the NAB Cup will be crucial for his chances. As it stands, he is in my team, although a couple of poor performances and he will be out. As I said last week, the increased trades in Fantasy Football lends itself to taking risks, so why not take a punt on Karnezis over Byrnes or Varcoe – it may just give you that edge you need over your mates.
7 Comments on Mid-Pricers: Patrick Karnezis
Hey! Toby that’s great work! Nice stats and thinking outside the box. I’ll have to keep an eye on him now.
Brisbane’s first 6 games are also very easy in terms of DT point-scoring, so it would not be a bad idea to start with a few Lions.
I have Varcoe in my team at the moment but im struggling to think he will play round 1, Maybe karnezis should be in my team because of the lack of ability that is available to the lions at the moment
A very interesting writeup Toby! You make some very valid points there. I hadn’t really considered him as I didn’t think he was best 22 but you’ve put up some very convincing stats there.
I am currently running with 2 x mid-pricers in my fwds due to the current lack of fwd rookies and I will definitely be looking at Karnezis along with Knights, Byrnes, Varcoe and Kennedy.
As 3rdMonkey says Brisbanes opening draw is very enticing. Karnezis could be a great stepping stone to a fallen premo around rnd 6-7 if he can average 75-80…
A great left field option Toby! He hadnt come into any serious consideration for me as I already have a few Brisbane players pencilled in (Luey, Rocky, Docherty, and Moloney, Redden, Staker & Mayes also on the radar) but you put up a very good case for Karnezis especially if he can lose the vest and pick up that wing role. Brisbane are a very fantasy relevant team this year.
After Byrnes’ NAB round 1 performance (not a disappointing showing but definitely below expectations), Karnezis is a timely option and could well end up in my starting squad depending on my structure and the next few pre-season performances. I generally love having a unique/roughie or two in my team to start the season.
Hopefully he shows enough to be considered best 21.
He fell into my team two days ago, with having that awkward amount of money left. With the vest playing part in 4 of his 7 games last year, means to me he is even more value. Could be the Suckling of 2013! I do admit my forward line looks a bit shakey with Varco, Macaffer and Karn starting. Also got Bolton in for one game til I swap him for S.Johnson. The risks can pay off!
Good work Toby….my main concern with him is of course JS. My current 4/5/6 forwards are Cloke, Bird and MacAffer, for me a lot will depend on whether L/Berger is up and running. If not, Karnezis may come in for Bird thus giving me enough $$$’s to uprade Berger.
Berger is my main concern at the moment. Very happy with my team at the minute.
Great article and good points by Dulcify et al above. For me he looked impressive on the weekend and was it Brown who was being interviewed OR something like that who said PK was the player to watch this year? So for me definitely on the radar BUT and that is a bigger but than Serena’s, I expect a lot from the Lions this season and finding myself struggling to have only 3 in the team (seeing value in more of them). Maloney was in before Saturday and expect him to give value. Luey also offers value as does Rocky. Not to mention Docherty, Redden, Hanley and others who all look like improving. Don’t fancy byrnes or pebbles so varcoe and him ahve real appeal, oh and maybe Jonathon Patton for a real cheapy?
Love the write up and the take on it well done Toby.
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